The world is currently experiencing rapid and significant geopolitical shifts, with rising global powers like the BRICS Group leading the charge to recalibrate the balance of influence within the Global Financial System. The recent expansion of the BRICS Group, now including 10 nations following the accession of Egypt, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates (UAE), Iran, and Ethiopia, underscores their growing influence. This bloc is unwavering in its determination to challenge the dominance of the U.S. dollar and to overhaul a global financial infrastructure that it sees as deeply flawed. The BRICS nations argue that the current system, with its structural flaws, serves as a tool for exerting political and economic pressure and contributes to the fragmentation of economies and regions by weaponizing trade and financial constraints.

 

The BRICS+ nations acknowledge that Dollar Dominance is underpinned by entrenched factors, most notably, the U.S. military power and global confidence in the U.S. legal and regulatory frameworks. Nevertheless, these nations are actively exploring alternatives to reduce their reliance on the dollar, aiming to bolster their financial sovereignty.

In pursuit of this goal, BRICS has ramped up efforts to reduce dependence on the dollar by employing innovative mechanisms. Chief among these is the proposal to issue a new, collective currency and establish a multilateral digital settlement and payment platform, dubbed as the “BRICS Bridge.” This platform is poised to foster greater trade integration among member states, particularly as some nations within the bloc, like Russia, face sanctions and exclusion from global systems such as the SWIFT System -The Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunication-.

 

All eyes are now on the upcoming BRICS Summit, set to take place in October in Kazan. The summit is expected to showcase tangible steps toward implementing these initiatives, which could potentially redefine the structure of international trade and finance. The critical question remains: Will Russia and its BRICS allies break the dollar's stranglehold over the global financial order?

What is the BRICS Bridge?

The BRICS Bridge is an ambitious initiative launched by Russia during its chairmanship of the BRICS Group. It reflects a strategic effort to establish a secure and efficient platform for financial transactions among BRICS nations using their national currencies, aiming to decouple from the Western-dominated financial system. By creating an alternative financial framework, the BRICS Bridge aspires to free its member states from the influence and pressures exerted by Western financial mechanisms.

The BRICS Bridge aims to challenge the SWIFT System established in 1973 as a global messaging network used by banks and financial institutions to securely transmit information and instructions through a standardised system of codes. SWIFT System has long been the backbone of global financial transactions. However, despite its indispensability to international finance, it is subject to significant influence from Western powers, especially the U.S. and the European Union. This has raised concerns among non-Western states about the vulnerability of their economies to sanctions or other forms of financial coercion. The BRICS Bridge resembles mBridge, a platform developed by the Basel-based Bank for International Settlements. mBridge uses central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) and blockchain technology to enable international payments through a decentralised accounting and reconciliation system. A key advantage is that banks can process payments internationally without the need to establish direct accounts with multiple foreign banks, mitigating risks of delays or failures in processing payments. This platform functions as a one-stop solution for international payments. The mBridge initiative currently brings together central banks from China, Hong Kong, the UAE, Thailand, and Saudi Arabia. It is closely linked to the concept behind BRICS Bridge, a cross-border payments platform similar to central bank digital currencies, which was recently proposed by the Russian government.

The BRICS Bridge is envisioned as a holistic financial messaging system that enables BRICS nations to conduct cross-border transactions using their national currencies rather than relying on the U.S. dollar. It aims to establish a secure, efficient, and politically neutral platform for international payments independent of any country’s influence. The system seeks to create a standalone mechanism, facilitating the exchange of national currencies for settlements among member states. The BRICS Bridge will exclude the U.S. dollar entirely, presenting a direct challenge to the Western-dominated SWIFT System.

A pivotal milestone in developing this initiative occurred Feb. 27, 2024, when finance ministers and central bankers from the BRICS nations convened for the first time under Russia’s chairmanship in São Paulo, Brazil. The meeting covered critical areas such as cooperation on payments, cybersecurity within the financial sector, the adoption of advanced financial technologies, and the role of transitional finance in sustainable development. Additionally, the participants emphasised the need to establish a platform for hosting open forums, seminars, and roundtables, focusing on expanding the use of National Currencies in mutual settlements and constructing an independent, more equitable financial infrastructure. In a related development, India and Russia announced a ground-breaking partnership in July 2023, signalling a significant step forward in this direction. The two nations agreed to integrate their national payment systems, India’s RuPay and Russia’s MIR, to facilitate seamless cross-border transactions without relying on the U.S. dollar.

Do We Need the BRICS Bridge?

The BRICS nations have emerged as a formidable economic and political bloc on the global stage, representing more than 40% of the world’s population and contributing approximately 25% of global GDP. However, despite this significant economic clout, their reliance on the U.S. dollar for Financial Transactions hinders their ambitions and exposes them to a spectrum of risks. The current global financial system is dominated by the U.S. dollar, which accounts for around 90% of all currency trades. Until recently, nearly 100% of oil trade was conducted in U.S. dollars; yet, by 2023, approximately one-fifth of oil trade was transacted in currencies other than the dollar.

The expansion of BRICS following the accession of 5 nations in early 2024 has sparked interest from numerous nations worldwide to express their desire to join BRICS+. Turkey is the latest nation to do so, and it has submitted an official request for membership. This development raises concerns regarding the group’s expansion and its implications, potentially facilitating the rapid spread of the new system and enabling more straightforward trade among numerous nations. Notably, many candidate nations for membership possess significant economic influence within various economic organisations and groupings.

 

Conversely, this overwhelming dollar dominance and carrot-and-stick approach contribute to efforts to shape a new global financial system where the dollar’s influence extends beyond the economic sphere into the political arena. Through this, the U.S. has the leverage to impose its policies and worldview on other nations. The BRICS nations actively seek to break this dominance in pursuit of greater autonomy in decision-making. The dynamics of this struggle were brought into focus during the first U.S. presidential debate between former President Donald Trump and current Vice President Kamala Harris on Sept. 10, 2024. Trump reiterated his recent commitment to imposing stringent tariffs on nations attempting to move away from the U.S. dollar as a global reserve currency. He even threatened to levy tariffs ranging from 60% to 100% on Chinese imports should he return to office. Furthermore, economic sanctions have become a prominent political tool wielded by the U.S. against nations that deviate from its policies. These sanctions have disproportionately affected some BRICS nations undermining their interests and stalling economic growth. For instance, the Moscow Stock Exchange (MOEX) has been subject to sanctions. MOEX, which is not only a hub for stock and bond trading but also a crucial platform for foreign exchange, has seen trading in U.S. dollars and euros come to a halt due to these sanctions. Consequently, the Russian Central Bank has shifted from referencing MOEX rates to offering rates calculated based on offshore foreign exchange trading.

In addition to the ongoing trade war and its cascading effects, the impact has extended far beyond the bilateral tensions between the U.S. and China, profoundly affecting the global economy. This turmoil has acted as a strong incentive for BRICS nations to seek out more stable and secure financial alternatives. Moreover, exchange rate volatility poses significant challenges as most BRICS nations grapple with fluctuations that negatively affect the value of their currencies. This increases trade and investment risks, complicating efforts to develop consistent long-term economic plans.

The BRICS Bridge offers these nations a unique opportunity to assert their economic independence, positioning themselves as contenders within the existing international financial system. By reducing their dependence on the U.S. dollar for cross-border transactions, the BRICS Bridge is likely to usher in an era of de-dollarisation, reducing global demand for the dollar. This shift would have profound implications for the United States and the global economy, potentially reshaping financial flows and altering the balance of economic power.

Is the BRICS Bridge a Viable Alternative?

One of the BRICS Bridge’s defining features is its capacity to enable direct currency exchange between member states. Rather than converting their national currencies into U.S. dollars for international transactions, BRICS nations will be able to trade directly in their own currencies. This mechanism reduces transaction costs and shields member states from the volatility of U.S. dollar fluctuations.

The BRICS initiative represents more than just an economic framework—it is a strategic geopolitical manoeuvre designed to reshape the global financial system. By reducing reliance on Western financial institutions and the U.S. dollar, the BRICS nations are positioning themselves as leaders in the push toward a multipolar world where power is more evenly distributed among nations.

The BRICS Bridge also offers a path toward financial sovereignty, providing its member states with insulation from the looming threat of Economic Sanctions imposed by Western powers. This is especially critical for nations like Russia, which has recently faced severe sanctions. The BRICS Bridge could serve as a financial lifeline, allowing these nations to maintain uninterrupted international transactions despite facing sanctions. More importantly, it offers developing nations, particularly in the Global South, an opportunity to reduce their dependency on the U.S. dollar and enhance the use of their national currencies in trade settlements.

The New Development Bank (NDB), established by the BRICS nations in 2015, is expected to play a pivotal role in implementing the BRICS Bridge. The NDB’s involvement will not only lend the project added credibility but also ensure its seamless integration into the broader BRICS financial infrastructure. The bank is expected to handle currency transfers, clearing, and reconciliation processes under the BRICS Bridge system, solidifying its role as a key player in the new financial ecosystem.

Challenges and Impact

While the BRICS Bridge offers significant promise, it also faces considerable challenges. The first is the technical complexity of creating a payment system that can compete with the SWIFT System in terms of security, efficiency, and global accessibility. SWIFT System is deeply entrenched in the global financial system, with more than 11,000 financial institutions across over 200 nations relying on its services. Convincing these institutions to transition to a new system will be no small feat.

The second challenge lies in the political and economic diversity of the BRICS member states. Although they share a common goal of reducing dependence on the West, their economic priorities and political systems differ significantly. Coordinating these diverse interests within a unified financial framework will require intense diplomatic negotiation and compromise. The recent expansion to include 10 BRICS members may further complicate decision-making processes. For instance, South Africa favours an Afro-centric payment system that offers broader opportunities to trade with global partners, and it remains cautious of the dominance of any single currency.

Currently, the BRICS Bridge remains in the developmental stage and is expected to be fully operational in the near future. The system will likely be a significant focal point at upcoming BRICS summits, where leaders will deliberate on the technical and logistical hurdles surrounding its rollout. Additionally, BRICS is expected to engage other emerging economies, encouraging them to join the new system as a way to lessen their reliance on the U.S. dollar.

In the long-term, the success of the BRICS Bridge will hinge on its ability to present a viable alternative to the SWIFT System. Achieving this goal will require technological innovation and sustained political commitment from BRICS nations. Suppose they can navigate the challenges and implement the BRICS Bridge effectively. In that case, it may signal a new era in global finance, where financial power is more equitably distributed, and nations gain greater control over their economic futures.

Conclusion

The BRICS Bridge represents a bold and ambitious attempt by BRICS nations to reshape the global financial system. By offering a viable alternative to the SWIFT System, these nations aim to reduce the dominance of the U.S. dollar and increase the financial sovereignty of emerging economies. While the road to full implementation is fraught with challenges, the potential benefits are substantial. Should the initiative succeed, it could usher in a new era of financial cooperation and multipolarity, with far-reaching implications for the global economy.

 

Despite the current dollar’s dominance in the global financial system, the BRICS+ nations are increasingly determined to challenge this dominance and reduce their reliance on the U.S. currency. This drive stems from several factors, including the desire to shield themselves from U.S. sanctions and political pressures and mitigate the effects of U.S. monetary policy fluctuations, which often disrupt capital flows into developing nations.

 

While it may be difficult to envision a Global Financial System without the U.S. dollar at its core, the efforts of BRICS+ point to a genuine ambition to transform the existing order into a more balanced and pluralistic system. These initiatives aim to enhance developing nations’ role in global financial decision-making and diminish the overwhelming influence of the U.S. The success of these efforts could substantially reduce the U.S. dollar’s dominance in international trade, paving the way for a more equitable global financial landscape. This transformation could also inspire other regional blocs, such as the Association of Southeast Asian Nations or the African Union, to develop their independent payment systems, contributing further to the decentralisation of global finance.

References

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“First BRICS Meeting of Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors Under Russia’s Chairship Held in Brazil,” BRICS RUSSIA 2024, February 28, 2024, accessed September 26, 2024, https://brics-russia2024.ru/en/news/v-brazilii-sostoyalas-pervaya-v-ramkakh-rossiyskogo-predsedatelstva-vstrecha-ministrov-finansov/

 

Ledger Insights, “Russia’s Central Bank Outlines Challenges With BRICS Bridge, Swift Payment Alternatives,” Ledger Insights – Blockchain for Enterprise, July 4, 2024, accessed September 26, 2024, https://www.ledgerinsights.com/russias-central-bank-outlines-challenges-with-brics-bridge-swift-payment-alternatives/

 

Peter Fabricius, “Extra BRICS Members Should Be About More Than the ‘West Versus the Rest,’” Daily Maverick, August 11, 2023, https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2023-08-11-extra-brics-members-should-be-about-more-than-the-west-versus-the-rest/

 

Mihaela Papa, Frank O’Donnell, and Zhen Han, “As BRICS Cooperation Accelerates, Is It Time for the US to Develop a BRICS Policy?,” The Fletcher School, August 18, 2023, accessed September 26, 2024, https://fletcher.tufts.edu/news-events/news/brics-cooperation-accelerates-it-time-us-develop-brics-policy

 

Jordan Finneseth, “BRICS Bridge Digital Payment System ‘Will Be a Bombshell Globally’ – Chair of Russia’s Federation Council,” Kitco News, August 19, 2024, accessed September 26, 2024, https://www.kitco.com/news/article/2024-08-19/brics-bridge-digital-payment-system-will-be-bombshell-globally-chair

 

Kester Kenn Klomegah, “Prospects for BRICS New Currency and New Payment System,” Modern Diplomacy, August 15, 2024, accessed September 26, 2024, https://moderndiplomacy.eu/2024/08/15/prospects-for-brics-new-currency-and-new-payment-system/

 

David Lubin, “BRICS+ Economies Unite to Target the Dollar,” Chatham House, September 9, 2024, accessed September 26, 2024, https://www.chathamhouse.org/publications/the-world-today/2024-09/brics-economies-unite-target-dollar

 

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